9 Oct · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1623
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1673
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H15-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-8)