9 Oct · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1596
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1673
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H29-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-23)