10 Oct · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1644
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gordeets
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1624
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 64% (532)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H109-113
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.