11 Oct · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1302
FormLLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1467
FormLWWWL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+165
H2H82-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-57)