11 Oct · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1467
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lapa
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1386
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+81
H2H41-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-17)