11 Oct · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1638
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1639
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H29-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.