11 Oct · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1467
FormLWWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1638
FormWWWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+171
H2H22-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-6)