16 Oct · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1414
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1452
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H42-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-17)