16 Oct · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1452
FormLLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1597
FormLWWLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+145
H2H113-63
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-63)