16 Oct · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1597
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Volgina
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1523
FormLWWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H46-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-26)