16 Oct · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1452
FormLLWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1631
FormWLLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H82-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-53)