16 Oct · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1452
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lapa
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1364
FormWLLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
22%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+88
H2H43-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-29)