16 Oct · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1364
FormWLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1523
FormLWWLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~73 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+159
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)