16 Oct · 20:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1631
FormWLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Gordeets
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1523
FormLWWLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+108
H2H61-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-15)