16 Oct · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1414
FormWWLWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1631
FormWLLWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H46-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-34)