16 Oct · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1364
FormWLLWL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1631
FormWLLWW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~72 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
29%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+267
H2H54-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+267)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-10)