16 Oct · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1597
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1631
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 63% (537)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H110-114
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.