17 Oct · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1537
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1638
FormWWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+101
H2H62-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-15)