17 Oct · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1638
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gordeets
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1586
FormLLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 63% (537)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H111-114
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)