17 Oct · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1558
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1586
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (297)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H122-134
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.