17 Oct · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1586
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1653
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 63% (537)
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H26-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-25)