17 Oct · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1638
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1653
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Gordeets covers set handicap as underdog 64% (299)
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H24-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.