23 Oct · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1604
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Volgina
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1549
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+55
H2H47-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-27)