23 Oct · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1628
FormLLWWL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H83-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (83-53)