23 Oct · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1668
FormWLWLL
25%
75%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H23-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-6)