23 Oct · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Lapa
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1285
FormLLLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
3-0
26%
3-1
26%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+166
H2H82-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-58)