23 Oct · 17:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1604
FormWWLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+153
H2H113-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-64)