23 Oct · 14:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1549
FormWWWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+98
H2H32-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-22)