23 Oct · 20:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1628
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gordeets
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1549
FormWWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H62-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-16)