25 Oct · 20:35 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1548
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gorchakova
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1466
FormWLLWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-0
22%
3-1
22%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+82
H2H32-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-23)