25 Oct · 15:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1466
FormWLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1594
FormWLWLL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+128
H2H83-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (83-54)