25 Oct · 18:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1557
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1594
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (299)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H100-112
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.