25 Oct · 17:05 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1466
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1557
FormLWWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+91
H2H113-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-39)