25 Oct · 21:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1596
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Volgina
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1594
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Gordeets covers set handicap as underdog 63% (301)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H115-113
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.