25 Oct · 16:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1548
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1594
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H64-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-16)