25 Oct · 15:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1557
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1596
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (299)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H123-135
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.