25 Oct · 17:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1548
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1596
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H47-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-29)