27 Oct · 13:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1847
FormWLWWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Ovriakh
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1648
FormLLLWL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
27%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+199
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)