27 Oct · 13:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Daria Kovalova
ELO 1518
FormLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1548
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.