27 Oct · 10:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1847
FormWLWWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Ovriakh
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1632
FormWWWLL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
28%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)