27 Oct · 14:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1632
FormWWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1759
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~73 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+127
H2H29-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-11)