27 Oct · 12:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1648
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plokhotniuk
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1632
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H22-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.