28 Oct · 07:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1619
FormLWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1749
FormWWLLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+130
H2H30-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-11)