28 Oct · 11:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1639
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plokhotniuk
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1619
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H22-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.