28 Oct · 08:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1639
FormLLWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1863
FormWWWWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+224
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+224)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)