28 Oct · 12:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1863
FormWWWWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Ovriakh
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1600
FormLLLLW
79%
21%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~73 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
29%
3-2
18%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+263
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)