28 Oct · 13:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1619
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dronova
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1600
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.