28 Oct · 08:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1749
FormWWLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Yevtodii
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1600
FormLLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+149
H2H35-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-5)