4 Nov · 09:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1584
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurtenko
DK
🇺🇦Daria Kovalova
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.