4 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1620
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plokhotniuk
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1615
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H17-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.